Standard Liege 1-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Apr 2024

Standard Liege
1-1 HT 0-1
St. Truidense
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Standard Liege vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.61
X/2
9%
7.55
X/X
12%
5.24
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
8%
5.18
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Standard Liege v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.64
-26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.7 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Standard Liege vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
1W-3D-2L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 424
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-3 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
27.12.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
30.07.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.01.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.09.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 0-2 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
10.04.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-0 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege and St. Truidense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Standard Liege at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Standard Liege and 1.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs St. Truidense?

Standard Liege 1-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 54%, draw 25%, St. Truidense 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Standard Liege), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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