Standard Liege 0-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.35
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
10%
6.08
X/2
13%
5.15
X/X
10%
4.36
2/1
11%
33.0
2/2
18%
3.44
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.42/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.69
-19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.7 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.49 xG 2.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Gent Gent 5-0 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
18.05.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-4 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
29.03.2024 Gent Gent 5-1 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
02.03.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 4-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
29.10.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 3-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
03.06.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
0-1
AWAY Gent
1.08 xG 2.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
230 Passes 412
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent edged past Standard Liege 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gent found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 40% of the ball to Gent's 60%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.08 to 2.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gent's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Standard Liege and 3.67 for Gent.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Gent?

Standard Liege 0-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 39%, draw 24%, Gent 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Standard Liege), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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