Standard Liege 1-4 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.53
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.3
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.51
X/2
14%
5.39
X/X
11%
5.96
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
17%
2.98
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.0pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +18%
1.47/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.50
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.6 Crosses 13.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.32 xG 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 375
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 Gent Gent 5-1 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
02.03.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 4-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
29.10.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 3-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
03.06.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.05.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
23.12.2022 Gent Gent 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
1-4
AWAY Gent
0.67 xG 2.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
296 Passes 429
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent swept aside Standard Liege 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Standard Liege had 42% of the ball to Gent's 58%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.67 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Standard Liege and 2.50 for Gent.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Gent?

Standard Liege 1-4 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 36%, draw 22%, Gent 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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