Westerlo 0-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.87
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
11%
5.4
X/2
9%
6.8
X/X
14%
5.98
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
20%
3.98
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.6pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.87/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.65
+23% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
24.6 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Mechelen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.90 xG 1.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 406
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
08.03.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-1 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
26.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
28.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
21.08.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 5-4 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
16.07.2017 Westerlo Westerlo 0-6 HT 0-5 Mechelen Mechelen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
0-2
AWAY Mechelen
1.25 xG 2.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
406 Passes 408
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen got the better of Westerlo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Mechelen made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Westerlo had 51% of the ball to Mechelen's 49%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.25 to 2.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Westerlo and 3.33 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Mechelen?

Westerlo 0-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 36%, draw 26%, Mechelen 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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