Anderlecht 0-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Sep 2024

Anderlecht
0-2 HT 0-1
Genk
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Anderlecht vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 26% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.5
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
22%
5.81
X/2
13%
5.79
X/X
14%
5.41
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
3.48
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.2pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.38/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.55
-17% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
14.0 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Anderlecht vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Genk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 2.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
359 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
20.04.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.09.2023 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
16.04.2023 Genk Genk 5-2 HT 2-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
21.12.2022 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK

Anderlecht 0-2 Genk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
0-2
AWAY Genk
1.58 xG 3.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 362
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk beat Anderlecht 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 54% of the ball to Genk's 46%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.58 to 3.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Anderlecht and 1.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Genk?

Anderlecht 0-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 41%, draw 28%, Genk 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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