Gomel 0-1 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
20%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.2pp
20%
Draw
30%
-10.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.1pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.59/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.14
+33% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.06.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
25.11.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
02.07.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-2 HT 2-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
13.08.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-1 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
03.04.2022 Gomel Gomel 0-2 HT 0-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
0-1
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr squeezed past Gomel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gomel at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Gomel had 51% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gomel and 0.67 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Slavia Mozyr?

Gomel 0-1 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gomel 44%, draw 20%, Slavia Mozyr 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gomel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gomel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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