Madura United 1-0 Persija Jakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 6 Apr 2025

Madura United
1-0 HT 1-0
Persija Jakarta
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Madura United vs Persija Jakarta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madura United v Persija Jakarta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.14/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.47
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Madura United vs Persija Jakarta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Persija Jakarta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 302
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2024 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 4-1 HT 2-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
13.08.2023 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 1-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
17.09.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
17.03.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-3 HT 0-3 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
22.10.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-3 HT 0-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
13.12.2019 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 4-0 HT 4-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persija Jakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United edged past Persija Jakarta 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Persija Jakarta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persija Jakarta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Madura United and 2.00 for Persija Jakarta.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persija Jakarta?

Madura United 1-0 Persija Jakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persija Jakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persija Jakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Madura United 31%, draw 25%, Persija Jakarta 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persija Jakarta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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