Olympique Khouribga 2-1 Hassania Agadir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.04
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+8.5pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.9pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympique Khouribga EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -73% / -73%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+34% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
233 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympique Khouribga
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hassania Agadir
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 2-0 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
11.09.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS
22.06.2022 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 2-0 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
25.11.2021 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-2 HT 0-1 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS
23.02.2020 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-2 HT 0-0 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS
11.10.2015 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 2-1 HT 0-1 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
POST-MATCH Olympique Khouribga vs Hassania Agadir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Khouribga squeezed past Hassania Agadir 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hassania Agadir at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympique Khouribga had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olympique Khouribga and 0.50 for Hassania Agadir.

What was the final score of Olympique Khouribga vs Hassania Agadir?

Olympique Khouribga 2-1 Hassania Agadir in the Morocco - Cup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympique Khouribga vs Hassania Agadir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hassania Agadir win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Olympique Khouribga 31%, draw 21%, Hassania Agadir 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hassania Agadir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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