Asan Mugunghwa 3-1 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.21/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.49
-18% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.1 Crosses 12.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cheongju FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-4 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
24.07.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
30.03.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-1 HT 1-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
11.11.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-2 HT 1-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
18.04.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3-1
AWAY Cheongju FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
304 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa saw off Cheongju FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 48% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 52%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.83 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheongju FC?

Asan Mugunghwa 3-1 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 50%, draw 24%, Cheongju FC 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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