Antigua GFC 1-3 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.15/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.83
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Marquense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.02.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
13.10.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 4-2 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense beat Antigua GFC 3-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Antigua GFC carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.00 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

Antigua GFC 1-3 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 58%, draw 27%, Marquense 15%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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