Antigua GFC 4-2 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 13 Oct 2024

Antigua GFC
4-2
Marquense
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2024/2025

Antigua GFC vs Marquense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antigua GFC v Marquense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.16/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.99
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC saw off Marquense 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

Antigua GFC 4-2 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 62%, draw 24%, Marquense 13%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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