Coban Imperial 3-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.71
Over 2.5
56%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.06
No
43%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
55%
-11.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
45%
+11.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
44%
+12.7pp
43%
BTTS No
56%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.73/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.65
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
391 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coban Imperial
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-2 HT 1-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
20.11.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
13.03.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
23.01.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
09.10.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 2-2 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
05.08.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 3-2 HT 2-2 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Coban Imperial vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial got the better of Achuapa 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coban Imperial as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coban Imperial and 1.33 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Coban Imperial vs Achuapa?

Coban Imperial 3-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coban Imperial vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coban Imperial win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coban Imperial 48%, draw 26%, Achuapa 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coban Imperial), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coban Imperial) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
13 Oct 2024
00:00 Antigua GFC vs Marquense Analysis →