Japonya (K) 1-1 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.49/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.76
+48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +67%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.1
14.5 Crosses 6.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.89 xG 0.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
512 Passes 317
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) 1-4 HT 1-2 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya (K)
1-1
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Japonya (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) and Kolombiya (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Japonya (K) at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Japonya (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Japonya (K) 1-1 Kolombiya (K) in the Friendlies on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 59%, draw 22%, Kolombiya (K) 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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