Atyrau 1-4 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.9pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.20/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.61
-78% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +33%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kairat
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
10.11.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
08.05.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 3-1 HT 3-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
04.05.2024 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
29.10.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
07.06.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 2-1 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
17.05.2023 Kairat Kairat 1-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat swept aside Atyrau 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 35% / 39% — and on the day Kairat made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atyrau and 0.83 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Kairat?

Atyrau 1-4 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 26%, draw 35%, Kairat 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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