Kairat 1-0 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.90/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.40
+42% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
07.06.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 2-1 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
17.05.2023 Kairat Kairat 1-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
05.03.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 2-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
09.10.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 1-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
15.07.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 2-3 HT 1-2 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat edged past Atyrau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kairat and 1.33 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Atyrau?

Kairat 1-0 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kairat 49%, draw 25%, Atyrau 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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