Zhenys 1-2 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 46%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey squeezed past Zhenys 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Yelimay Semey found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Yelimay Semey?

Zhenys 1-2 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 33%, draw 28%, Yelimay Semey 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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