Aktobe 1-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 42%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.67/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.67
+38% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Astana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.03.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-4 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
26.06.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
17.03.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
18.09.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 2-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
15.08.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe and FC Astana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aktobe and 1.00 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs FC Astana?

Aktobe 1-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 39%, draw 23%, FC Astana 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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