Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.85/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.30
+61% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Talanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2024 Talanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
29.12.2021 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 HT 0-0 Talanta KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
2-1
AWAY Talanta
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks edged past Talanta 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Kariobangi Sharks found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 59% of the ball to Talanta's 41%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 1.00 for Talanta.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Talanta?

Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 37%, draw 32%, Talanta 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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