Sparta Selemet 1-6 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
59%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
32%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.6pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
59%
Away Win
73%
-13.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 77%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.68/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.10
+16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -54%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Milsami
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
1-6
AWAY Milsami
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 16
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami ran out comfortable winners over Sparta Selemet 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 41% of the ball to Milsami's 59%, shots finished 3-22.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs Milsami?

Sparta Selemet 1-6 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 21%, draw 21%, Milsami 59%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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