Zimbru 3-2 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.9pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.6pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.03/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.39
+114% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Petrocub
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
18.05.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 4-1 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
14.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
10.11.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
16.09.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
14.05.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
3-2
AWAY Petrocub
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru squeezed past Petrocub 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Zimbru made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 54% of the ball to Petrocub's 46%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zimbru and 1.33 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Petrocub?

Zimbru 3-2 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 32%, draw 34%, Petrocub 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
6 Apr 2025
16:00 Sparta Selemet vs Milsami Analysis →