Petrocub 4-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.03/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.41
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zimbru
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
10.11.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
16.09.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
14.05.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
09.04.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-2 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
16.10.2022 Zimbru Zimbru 2-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
4-1
AWAY Zimbru
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub ran out comfortable winners over Zimbru 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Petrocub as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrocub had 51% of the ball to Zimbru's 49%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Petrocub and 1.50 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs Zimbru?

Petrocub 4-1 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 55%, draw 24%, Zimbru 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrocub), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrocub) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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18 May 2024
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