FC Sheriff 2-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
71%
-19.7pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
2.19/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.29
-11% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
03.12.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
30.09.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
22.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
13.03.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
16.10.2022 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
2-1
AWAY CSF Balti
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff nicked a narrow win over CSF Balti 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 67% of the ball to CSF Balti's 33%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

FC Sheriff 2-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 51%, draw 26%, CSF Balti 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
18 May 2024
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