FC Sheriff 2-0 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.4pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.5pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.20/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.25
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
30.09.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
22.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
13.03.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
16.10.2022 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
21.08.2022 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
2-0
AWAY CSF Balti
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff got the better of CSF Balti 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 59% of the ball to CSF Balti's 41%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

FC Sheriff 2-0 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 61%, draw 19%, CSF Balti 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
13 Apr 2024
15:00 Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami Analysis →