Dacia-Buiucani 1-4 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
1.97
Over 2.5
67%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.75
No
31%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
47%
-13.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
53%
+13.3pp
68%
BTTS Yes
53%
+15.4pp
32%
BTTS No
47%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 57%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.72
+34% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Milsami
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Milsami Milsami 3-0 HT 1-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
16.09.2023 Dacia-Buiucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
15.10.2022 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
21.08.2022 Dacia-Buiucani 0-2 HT 0-2 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
1-4
AWAY Milsami
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami cruised past Dacia-Buiucani 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dacia-Buiucani had 41% of the ball to Milsami's 59%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Milsami led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dacia-Buiucani and 2.00 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami?

Dacia-Buiucani 1-4 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dacia-Buiucani vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dacia-Buiucani 25%, draw 25%, Milsami 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
13 Apr 2024
18:00 FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti Analysis →