Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
Valerenga
NOR
0-2
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
3-3
HT 2-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
0-1
HT 0-1
Valerenga
NOR
2-1
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
4-1
HT 1-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 and Valerenga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 59% of the ball to Valerenga's 41%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.07 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.83 for Valerenga.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga?
Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 35%, draw 28%, Valerenga 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga) went the other way.