Sandefjord 3-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 6 Apr 2025

Sandefjord
3-0 HT 2-0
Molde
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Sandefjord vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
23.3
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
13%
7.22
X/2
18%
4.85
X/X
8%
5.19
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
14%
2.8
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.3 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandefjord v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.26/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.19
-24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
19.8 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sandefjord vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Molde
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.16 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
323 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Molde Molde 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
05.05.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
12.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
29.05.2023 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
06.11.2022 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
24.07.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-3 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR

Sandefjord 3-0 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
3-0
AWAY Molde
1.83 xG 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
376 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord swept aside Molde 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Sandefjord had 51% of the ball to Molde's 49%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.83 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sandefjord and 2.17 for Molde.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Molde?

Sandefjord 3-0 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 34%, draw 21%, Molde 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Molde), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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