Molde 0-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 19 Oct 2024

Molde
0-1 HT 0-0
Sandefjord
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.14
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.88
2-3 Goals
35%
2.3
4-5 Goals
33%
2.4
6+ Goals
17%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.6
X/1
16%
3.7
X/2
6%
22.7
X/X
6%
10.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
19.35
2/2
8%
15.15
2/X
8%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 16% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.7pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
2.31/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.10
+21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.3 Crosses 14.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Molde vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.19 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
371 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
12.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
29.05.2023 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
06.11.2022 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
24.07.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-3 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
07.11.2021 Molde Molde 3-1 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR

Molde 0-1 Sandefjord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
0-1
AWAY Sandefjord
1.55 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
445 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord nicked a narrow win over Molde 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Molde carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Molde had 57% of the ball to Sandefjord's 43%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.77 — on chances, Molde could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Molde and 1.50 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Molde vs Sandefjord?

Molde 0-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Molde 63%, draw 18%, Sandefjord 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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