Samorin 1-1 Puchov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samorin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Puchov EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.34/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.90
-16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samorin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Puchov
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Puchov Puchov 3-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
18.11.2023 Puchov Puchov 1-6 HT 0-4 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
06.08.2023 Samorin Samorin 2-5 HT 2-3 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
09.11.2022 Samorin Samorin 1-1 HT 0-0 Puchov Puchov SLOVK
22.10.2022 Puchov Puchov 0-1 HT 0-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
17.04.2022 Samorin Samorin 2-3 HT 1-2 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samorin
1-1
AWAY Puchov
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Samorin vs Puchov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samorin and Puchov couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Samorin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Samorin had 49% of the ball to Puchov's 51%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puchov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Samorin and 2.17 for Puchov.

What was the final score of Samorin vs Puchov?

Samorin 1-1 Puchov in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samorin vs Puchov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samorin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samorin 42%, draw 26%, Puchov 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Samorin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samorin) ✓ Under 2.5
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SLVK2 More Slovakia - 2nd Division
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