GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 Kırklarelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırklarelispor EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.29/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.82
-32% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -31%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kırklarelispor
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor 4-1 HT 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-B
30.04.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor T2L-K
27.11.2022 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor 3-0 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
23.12.2020 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor T2L-K
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Kırklarelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor and Kırklarelispor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had GMG Kastamonuspor at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kırklarelispor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 2.25 for Kırklarelispor.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Kırklarelispor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 Kırklarelispor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Kırklarelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 55%, draw 28%, Kırklarelispor 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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