Naestved 2-1 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 30% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.79/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.74
-5% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
25.10.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
25.08.2024 Naestved Naestved 0-3 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
20.03.2022 Naestved Naestved 4-3 HT 2-3 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
21.08.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-2 HT 0-2 Naestved Naestved DAN2
14.05.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
2-1
AWAY Hellerup IK
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved nicked a narrow win over Hellerup IK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naestved as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Naestved had 73% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 27%, shots finished 16-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellerup IK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Naestved and 2.00 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Hellerup IK?

Naestved 2-1 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Naestved 55%, draw 22%, Hellerup IK 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naestved) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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