Crewe Alexandra 0-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 May 2024

Crewe Alexandra
0-2 HT 0-1
Doncaster Rovers
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.08
6+ Goals
11%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
13%
6.1
X/2
10%
4.61
X/X
11%
4.43
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.16
2/X
9%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 13% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crewe Alexandra v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.07/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.74
+20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.3 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
283 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
25.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
01.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
22.10.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
09.04.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
01.12.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK

Crewe Alexandra 0-2 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.91 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
207 Passes 309
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers saw off Crewe Alexandra 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 44% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 56%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.91 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.17 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers?

Crewe Alexandra 0-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 34%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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