Doncaster Rovers 2-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

Doncaster Rovers
2-0 HT 1-0
Crewe Alexandra
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.6
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
13%
5.25
X/2
9%
5.57
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
23%
3.91
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doncaster Rovers v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.30/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.15
-11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 67%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
18.5 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
266 Passes 274
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
01.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
22.10.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
09.04.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
01.12.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK
02.11.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1

Doncaster Rovers 2-0 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.51 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
206 Passes 334
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers beat Crewe Alexandra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 41% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 59%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.51 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.50 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra?

Doncaster Rovers 2-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 35%, draw 25%, Crewe Alexandra 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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