Gillingham 1-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.23
X/2
14%
7.0
X/X
12%
4.23
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
9%
5.67
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.38
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
245 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 66%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.5 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
269 Passes 210
62% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
11.03.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
13.08.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
07.09.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 0-2 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
18.04.2014 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
20.12.2013 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.29 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
341 Passes 212
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
53 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Tranmere Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gillingham had 58% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 42%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.29 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gillingham and 1.50 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?

Gillingham 1-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 44%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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