Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

Notts County
0-2 HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.21
Over 2.5
43%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 29% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
13%
6.66
X/X
16%
5.3
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
13%
4.22
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.3pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.09
-7% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
28.5 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
0W-0D-3L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.29 xG 4.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
602 Passes 150
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-2 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
23.01.2016 Notts County Notts County 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
19.09.2015 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2

Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
0-2
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.39 xG 0.76
70% Ball Possession 30%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
535 Passes 191
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon saw off Notts County 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; AFC Wimbledon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Notts County had 70% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 30%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.76 — on chances, Notts County could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Notts County and 2.67 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Notts County 39%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Notts County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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