Barrow 2-0 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.76
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
18%
4.32
X/2
12%
7.07
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
7%
5.47
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.25/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.54
-9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.5 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Colchester
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 1.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
238 Passes 234
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-4 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
04.02.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
01.11.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
15.01.2022 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
10.09.2021 Barrow Barrow 2-3 HT 1-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
05.04.2021 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
2-0
AWAY Colchester
1.17 xG 0.39
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
153 Passes 358
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow saw off Colchester 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barrow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Barrow had 36% of the ball to Colchester's 64%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.17 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barrow and 1.17 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Colchester?

Barrow 2-0 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barrow 47%, draw 27%, Colchester 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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