AFC Totton 2-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
2.16/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.32
+24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.01.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-1 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
12.08.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 0-2 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton and Salisbury couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Totton at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AFC Totton and 1.00 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Salisbury?

AFC Totton 2-2 Salisbury in the England - Non League Premier on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 43%, draw 25%, Salisbury 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
6 May 2024
17:00 AFC Telford United vs Leamington Analysis →
17:00 Macclesfield vs Marine Analysis →