Empoli U19 3-1 Sassuolo U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli U19 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.50
+47% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2024 Sassuolo U19 Sassuolo U19 4-1 HT 3-1 Empoli U19 Empoli U19 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli U19
3-1
AWAY Sassuolo U19
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Empoli U19 vs Sassuolo U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli U19 got the better of Sassuolo U19 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sassuolo U19 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Empoli U19 had 54% of the ball to Sassuolo U19's 46%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Empoli U19 vs Sassuolo U19?

Empoli U19 3-1 Sassuolo U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli U19 vs Sassuolo U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Empoli U19 36%, draw 21%, Sassuolo U19 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassuolo U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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