Lecce U19 1-1 Milan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.98/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.24
-38% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce U19
1-1
AWAY Milan U19
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecce U19 vs Milan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U19 and Milan U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Lecce U19 had 41% of the ball to Milan U19's 59%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Lecce U19 vs Milan U19?

Lecce U19 1-1 Milan U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U19 vs Milan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lecce U19 38%, draw 23%, Milan U19 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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