Salernitana vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salernitana v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Salernitana vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 0-1
Salernitana
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
8-2
HT 5-1
Salernitana
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Salernitana
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
1-3
HT 1-2
Atalanta
İTB
Salernitana 1-2 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta edged past Salernitana 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Salernitana had 31% of the ball to Atalanta's 69%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.50 to 1.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atalanta's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salernitana and 2.83 for Atalanta.
What was the final score of Salernitana vs Atalanta?
Salernitana 1-2 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Atalanta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 20%, draw 21%, Atalanta 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.