Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.49
2-3 Goals
35%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.75/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.11
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Sharjah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
327 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.12.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
27.01.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
03.09.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
26.02.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
18.09.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 4-3 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
15.03.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
3-1
AWAY Al Sharjah
3.10 xG 2.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
389 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai got the better of Al Sharjah 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 58% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 42%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 3.10 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.17 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Sharjah?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 Al Sharjah in the UAE - League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 46%, draw 25%, Al Sharjah 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
6 May 2024
17:05 Khorfakkan vs Al Ain Analysis →
17:05 Al Ittihad Kalba vs Emirates Analysis →
19:45 Al Bataeh vs Al Wasl Dubai Analysis →