Khorfakkan 0-1 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.41
No
47%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
6.64
2-3 Goals
36%
2.14
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
10%
5.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.0pp
47%
BTTS No
33%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 57%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.23/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.26
-21% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
20.8 Crosses 23.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ain
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.90 xG 2.56
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
218 Passes 438
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
09.04.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
01.02.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
04.11.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 2-1 HT 0-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
05.02.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
20.08.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
0-1
AWAY Al Ain
0.93 xG 2.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
262 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain edged past Khorfakkan 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 49% of the ball to Al Ain's 51%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.93 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ain's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.83 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Ain?

Khorfakkan 0-1 Al Ain in the UAE - League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 24%, draw 21%, Al Ain 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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