Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.18
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
8%
16.8
X/1
12%
9.09
X/2
9%
3.8
X/X
14%
3.79
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.43
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 55%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.08/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.98
-53% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +92%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.9 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 2.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
278 Passes 374
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
15.04.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
07.11.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
19.07.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
01.12.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-3 HT 1-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
22.08.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-2 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
0-2
AWAY Palmeiras
0.39 xG 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras beat Cuiaba 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Cuiaba had 45% of the ball to Palmeiras's 55%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.39 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cuiaba and 1.50 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Palmeiras?

Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 30%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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