Vejle 3-2 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 6 May 2024

Vejle
3-2 HT 1-1
Odense
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.41
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
12%
12.8
X/1
8%
5.1
X/2
9%
6.12
X/X
12%
4.08
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
18%
4.43
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +31%
1.20/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.36
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
21.4 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Odense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.11
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Odense Odense 0-1 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
10.03.2024 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
01.09.2023 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
21.05.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-1 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
14.04.2022 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
20.03.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-0 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
3-2
AWAY Odense
0.91 xG 1.36
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
154 Passes 445
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle edged past Odense 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Vejle made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vejle had 31% of the ball to Odense's 69%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.91 to 1.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Odense.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vejle had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vejle and 0.83 for Odense.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Odense?

Vejle 3-2 Odense in the Denmark - Süperlig on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vejle win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vejle 35%, draw 31%, Odense 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vejle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vejle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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