Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
22%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.01.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) edged past Nojima Stella (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 17%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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