Once Caldas 2-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.3 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
297 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.09.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
12.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 4-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
14.07.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.01.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
22.10.2021 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
2-0
AWAY La Equidad
1.60 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 Passes 216
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas saw off La Equidad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Once Caldas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Once Caldas had 50% of the ball to La Equidad's 50%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.60 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Once Caldas and 1.33 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs La Equidad?

Once Caldas 2-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 37%, draw 30%, La Equidad 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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