Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santa Fe 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe found just enough to beat Deportes Tolima 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (61%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Santa Fe's favour, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.30 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Santa Fe against 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score
Santa Fe 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 47%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.