Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Santa Fe
KOL
Santa Fe 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe edged past Deportes Tolima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Santa Fe had 50% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 50%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.30 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Fe and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
Santa Fe 1-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 42%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.