Santa Fe 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Mar 2024

Santa Fe
1-1 HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.22/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.11
-1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
18.3 Crosses 11.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.10.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
29.04.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
14.08.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
17.02.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
02.10.2021 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
05.03.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL

Santa Fe 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.51 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
248 Passes 338
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 45% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 55%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.51 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Fe and 1.17 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

Santa Fe 1-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 37%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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