Junior 3-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Mar 2024

Junior
3-1 HT 1-0
Jaguares De Cordoba
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Junior vs Jaguares De Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Junior v Jaguares De Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.64/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.36
+10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
17.1 Crosses 12.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Junior vs Jaguares De Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
404 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
23.04.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
31.10.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
15.05.2022 Junior Junior 2-4 HT 1-2 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
18.10.2021 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
16.08.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL

Junior 3-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-1
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
2.74 xG 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
434 Passes 350
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
40 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Junior vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior saw off Jaguares De Cordoba 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 55% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 45%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.74 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Junior and 1.00 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Junior vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Junior 3-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Junior 52%, draw 27%, Jaguares De Cordoba 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
16 Mar 2024
02:00 Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pasto Analysis →
22:00 Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Analysis →