Hermannstadt 0-1 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.59/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.43
-4% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
23.07.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-3 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
15.05.2021 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
12.04.2021 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
20.12.2020 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
05.08.2020 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
0-1
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi squeezed past Hermannstadt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hermannstadt at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 57% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 43%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermannstadt and 0.83 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi?

Hermannstadt 0-1 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 48%, draw 27%, CSMS Iaşi 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hermannstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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