UTA Arad 3-1 U Craiova 1948 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY U Craiova 1948 EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.05/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.86
-7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY U Craiova 1948
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-2 HT 2-2 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
29.10.2023 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 2-3 HT 1-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
19.05.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
04.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROK
22.01.2023 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 1-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
26.08.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 2-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
3-1
AWAY U Craiova 1948
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad saw off U Craiova 1948 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; UTA Arad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 43% of the ball to U Craiova 1948's 57%, shots finished 19-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTA Arad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for UTA Arad and 1.17 for U Craiova 1948.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948?

UTA Arad 3-1 U Craiova 1948 in the Romania - 1st Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 37%, draw 29%, U Craiova 1948 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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